clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Will the Miami Heat let it Wayne with Philadelphia native Ellington in a must win game

New, comments

Wayne Ellington returns home to his Philadelphia roots in a win or go home game for the Heat.

NBA: Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

The all-time Miami Heat leading 3-point shooter for a single season, and all-time NBA 3-point scorer off the bench Wayne Ellington, has seen his minutes reduced during the second half against the Philadelphia 76ers in the 2018 Playoffs.

Much talk has centered about missed free throws during the series, but the figures show a bigger difference in 3-point attempts, even though the Heat are a better shooting 3-point team.

  • Free throw attempts: 76ers - 123 vs Heat - 121
  • Free throw makes: 76ers - 93 vs Heat - 84
  • 3-point attempts: 76ers - 129 vs Heat - 103
  • 3-point makes: 76ers - 50 vs Heat - 44
  • 3-point percentage: 76ers 38.8% vs Heat 42.7%

Probably due to Ellington’s defensive shortcomings his minutes in the second half were reduced to 7.5 from 12.3 in the first half, despite Miami leading at halftime in all four games.

The table below shows the shot selection per quarter, along with Dwyane Wade’s and Elington’s average minutes in each quarter.

Playoff Shot Selection

TYPE 1ST 2ND 3RD 4TH GAME
TYPE 1ST 2ND 3RD 4TH GAME
3PtA 8.0 5.8 6.8 5.3 25.8
3PtM 4.0 2.3 2.8 2.0 11.0
3Pt% 50% 40% 41% 38% 43%
AST 7.8 5.8 5.3 5.0 23.8
2PtA 12.3 16.2 12.2 15.0 53.5
2PtM 5.8 8.2 6.0 6.3 26.3
2Pt% 47% 51% 49% 42% 49%
2P/3P 1.5 2.8 1.8 2.8 2.1
FTA 7.5 11.8 6.5 4.5 30.3
Wade 3.8 8.2 4.2 7.9 24.1
Ellington 6.5 5.8 3.5 4.2 20.0

When Wade plays the majority of the second and fourth quarters, 3-point attempts by the Heat drop.

As the game goes on the assists and shooting percentages drop every quarter as the players become increasingly iso-ball oriented.

The flip side of the Heat having the third best 3-point percentage, among the 2018 playoff teams, is the 76ers have the third worst 3-point defense of the playoff teams.

Can the Heat use that fact to earn a round-trip back to Miami for a game 6 in the playoffs?