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How will Miami Heat rookies do the second time around?

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The first half of the season was preparation for the next phase as the dog days arrive.

NBA: Memphis Grizzlies at Miami Heat Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

Every NBA team has faced the Miami Heat rookies at least once this season. How will Tyler Herro, Kendrick Nunn, Chris Silva do after being scouted in the first half of action?

Their monthly stats up to Jan. 20 show some trends even this early in their maiden NBA season. As a note October includes only 5 games, of which Jimmy Butler missed the first three.

Net Rating: Nunn has done slightly better in December and January, while Herro dropped off after an impressive November.

Net Rating

Player Oct Nov Dec Jan
Player Oct Nov Dec Jan
Herro 1.4 8.5 -8.0 -10.7
Nunn 10.9 0.8 4.8 5.6
Silva 9.0 9.0 -25.8 15.3

Offense Rating: Nunn has gotten better, but NBA teams have taken away some of Herro’s best moves to the bucket in the last month.

Offense Rating

Player Oct Nov Dec Jan
Player Oct Nov Dec Jan
Herro 97.8 114.7 106.0 99.0
Nunn 106.3 104.9 112.0 117.2
Silva 105.4 101.4 109.4 105.3

Defense Rating: After an October honeymoon period, opponents found points of attacks. However give credit to Nunn and Herro for responding and stabilizing their defense, for the most part.

Defense Rating

Player Oct Nov Dec Jan
Player Oct Nov Dec Jan
Herro 96.40 106.20 114.00 109.70
Nunn 95.40 104.20 107.20 111.50
Silva 96.40 101.40 135.20 90.00

TurnOver Ratio: Turnovers and personal fouls have practically knocked Silva out of the rotation until he improves his ball handling.

TO Ratio

Players Oct Nov Dec Jan
Players Oct Nov Dec Jan
Herro 13.0 13.4 9.1 7.9
Nunn 10.5 11.2 7.9 7.7
Silva 31.8 25.4 13.8 0.0

Finally their plus/minus numbers per 100 possessions, for when they are on the court versus off the court for the entire season, show a significant difference.

  • Nunn: plus 4.1
  • Silva: minus 0.2
  • Herro: minus 11.2

In other words, the Heat are outscored by 11 points per 100 possessions when Herro is in the game compared to when he’s sitting. Miami outscores opponents by 4 points per 100 possessions when Nunn is playing, versus sitting. Some of this effect may be due to the fact Nunn is playing with starters, while Herro is coming off the bench. That is, Miami starters do better than the opponent’s first five, while Miami’s bench mob gets outscored by their peers.

Figures show the transition from amateur competition to professional isn’t an easy one. Nunn has the benefit that he’s a second-year professional player, but technically a NBA rookie. Last season Nunn faced full-time professional competition in games, while Herro went against student-athletes.

Now we’ll see if Herro can bounce back from his recent slump on offense since NBA teams have seen what he can, and cannot do. Nunn seems to have settled down and getting into a groove.

The Heat rooks have surpassed preseason expectations by far. Hopefully they’ll continue to impress, because surprise won’t be a factor the second time around.